Fox Enterprise host Maria Bartiromo and GOP Rep. Richard McCormick of Georgia have been baffled Thursday over a Prepare dinner Political Report survey that exhibits Vice President Kamala Harris tied with Donald Trump in Georgia.
“I am shocked that the 2 are tied and so shut throughout the nation, together with in Georgia,” Bartiromo mentioned.
McCormick echoed her confusion. “I’m not really sure where these statistics are coming from, where these polling numbers are coming from, but it’s very surprising to me, too.”
Right here’s the place these numbers are coming from:
This actually is an astounding flip round, as CNN knowledge analyst Harry Enten explains. Disaffected voters, the so-called “double-haters” who didn’t need to vote for both President Joe Biden or Donald Trump are discovering a house.
“Now that Kamala Harris is the Democratic nominee, look at her support among them. Look at this, 53% say Kamala Harris, look at that jump, that’s a jump of 25 points. Donald Trump has gone in the other direction down to 11 points,” Enten mentioned.
”And now we’re , what’s that, John? That may be a 42-point benefit among the many of us who dislike Joe Biden and Donald Trump for Kamala Harris in comparison with simply that nine-point benefit that Joe Biden had again in June. This, in fact, is a considerable portion of the voters.
Earlier than Kamala Harris bought in, this was going to be the group that was going to find out a technique or one other, and it might nonetheless be, and whether it is, Kamala Harris has this huge benefit over this very key bloc within the election.”
Enten additionally notes that Harris has picked up 39% of people that mentioned they have been going to vote for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. in July in a Pew Analysis ballot. Trump has gotten half of that, simply 20% of these voters.
However for veteran pollsters, these modifications aren’t that shocking, at the same time as non-public polling exhibits “anxiety-spiking” numbers for Trump in Ohio and Florida, studies Rolling Stone.
“When you address things that voters don’t care about [such as obsessing over Harris’ crowd sizes], they punish you—and Trump’s being punished right now for not staying on message and not addressing issues people care about,” says Frank Luntz, a longtime pollster and conservative Trump critic. “This election was his to lose, and he’s losing it … And he’s incapable of changing.”
So there’s your reply, Republicans. However you retain on denying that these numbers are actual, and stick with it with what you’re doing. See you in November.
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