So it’s come to this: Election Day. However hardly ever has an election been this unsure. Polls present Vice President Kamala Harris and Donald Trump having coin-flip odds of successful the White Home, and neither occasion has a transparent benefit in controlling the 2 chambers of Congress.
In different phrases, nervousness gas.
Nonetheless, it helps to know precisely the place issues stand. Right here’s your one-stop article for a graphical overview of the 2024 battleground.
The presidential race will primarily happen throughout seven battleground states (give or take an Iowa). These states are Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. And irrespective of which polling common you use, Harris and Trump are neck and neck.
PRESIDENTIAL RATINGS:
Within the higher chamber of Congress, Democrats face an extremely tough map, with an anticipated loss in West Virginia (the place impartial Sen. Joe Manchin is retiring) and two purple state incumbents—Sherrod Brown of Ohio and Jon Tester of Montana—defending towards far-right challengers.
That being mentioned, there’s some sudden hope in Nebraska, the place impartial Dan Osborn is working an incredibly shut race with incumbent Republican Deb Fischer. (On the identical time, Osborn has not clarified which occasion he’d caucus with if elected, although he does have some ties to Democrats.)
SENATE MAP:
It’s an even-numbered yr, so each Home seat is up for election on Tuesday. Democrats face extra favorable odds, regardless of one notably nasty gerrymander in North Carolina.
HOUSE OVERALL:
HOUSE MAP:
In an replace from what Every day Kos wrote on Oct. 13, there are actually 25 Home races with at the very least two non-internal polls since Could. In a easy common of these polls, Democrats lead in 16 of these races, together with seven at present held by Republicans.
The GOP leads in 9 races, however solely two of these seats are held by Democrats (Michigan’s seventh District and Washington’s third District). If the polling chief had been to win their race, Democrats would probably retake the Home.
That being mentioned, the polling is pretty sparse within the Home, so—as with the presidency and Senate—something might occur.
