Survey Says is a weekly column rounding up three of an important polling traits or knowledge factors you have to find out about. You’ll additionally discover data-based updates on previous Each day Kos reporting, plus a vibe examine on a development that’s driving politics.
Chuck Schumers the mattress
Chuck Schumer insists he’s not stepping down as Senate minority chief, regardless of rising calls for him to just do that. And whereas different high Democrats, like Home Minority Chief Hakeem Jeffries, should help him, voters certain don’t.
A brand new survey from The Economist/YouGov finds that Schumer is the one congressional chief whose job approval score is underwater together with his celebration’s voters: 40% of Democrats approve of his efficiency, whereas 44% disapprove.
Examine that with Jeffries: 54% of Democrats approve of how he’s doing his job, whereas simply 22% disapprove. And like Jeffries, the 2 GOP leaders—Home Speaker Mike Johnson and Senate Majority Chief John Thune—each have net-positive job approval rankings from Republicans.
Schumer is the odd man out.
This ballot was carried out after the current standoff over a invoice to fund the federal government, which is when Schumer began taking warmth from Democrats. And that means Schumer’s management fashion—characterised by betraying his colleagues and capitulating to President Donald Trump—doesn’t resonate together with his celebration’s voters.
Likewise, The Economist/YouGov’ monitoring polls reveals that Schumer’s favorability amongst Democrats has taken a serious hit lately. (Civiqs has additionally seen his favorability take successful, although much less so.)
This anti-Schumer sentiment could possibly be a part of an even bigger development—and an even bigger bother for congressional Democrats.
Final Sunday, two separate surveys discovered that perceptions of the Democratic Social gathering have been at a historic low. And that’s largely as a result of Democratic voters are annoyed with their celebration management attempting to compromise with Trump, although a major share instructed NBC Information they need them to “stick to their positions.”
Maybe these polls will function a wake-up name.
In spite of everything, Trump isn’t doing so scorching within the polls himself. Not solely is his approval score crashing, however these ages 65 and older—a key Republican demographic—appear to be turning on him. That very same Economist/YouGov ballot finds him at his worst web approval score (9 factors underwater) amongst older Individuals since he took workplace.
Individuals assume Musk is evil—and ugly
It’s not simply Trump’s approval score that’s underwater; tech billionaire Elon Musk’s is just too, in line with new knowledge from Blueprint, a Democratic knowledge and polling agency. The truth is, Musk’s web favorability is decrease than Trump’s (-15 in comparison with -5), whereas 62% of registered voters instructed the agency that Trump ought to give Musk fewer duties and affect.
Curiously, regardless of Musk repeatedly sidelining Trump, 50% of respondents mentioned that they consider Trump nonetheless holds the reins, suggesting that he gained’t relinquish his so-called crown with out a battle.
However these findings may mirror wishful considering. Regardless of all of his flaws, the ballot means that voters want Trump to Musk, who they view as much less competent.
Even Republicans are much less bought on Musk, with 38% of respondents approving of how he’s dealing with his function as head of the so-called Division of Authorities Effectivity and 54% disapproving. Notably, his web job approval because the lead DOGE dork is simply +59 amongst Republicans—20 factors fewer than Trump’s web approval score with this group.
Respondents additionally expressed disapproval of Musk shifting his focus from enterprise to politics, with an total web approval score of -23. Solely 41% of voters mentioned they consider Musk is competent sufficient to guide a federal company, whereas 50% assume that he’s incompetent.
Blueprint additionally requested voters how nicely they consider sure phrases describe Musk. As anticipated, phrases like “billionaire” (79%), “power-hungry” (49%), “arrogant” (46%), and “manipulative” (45%) topped the listing. A plurality of voters (41%) even mentioned they discovered Musk to be “intelligent,” whereas 33% thought of him a “genius.”
One factor voters appeared to agree on is that, regardless of his brains, Musk lacks brawn. The phrase voters assume least describes Musk? “Sexy.”
Who’s bought egg on their face?
Regardless of claims from the Trump administration that egg costs are falling, most Individuals assume that costs are nonetheless excessive. However they aren’t putting lots of blame on Trump.
New polling from Morning Seek the advice of reveals that Individuals attribute different components—equivalent to inflation, value gouging, and ongoing hen flu outbreaks—greater than Trump’s insurance policies.
In response to the survey, 60% of Individuals blame Trump for prime egg costs—that’s 10 proportion factors greater than those that blame former President Joe Biden. Nonetheless, they’re more likely to level the finger at different points, like total inflation (79%), which they assume has had the most important influence on costs. After that, they blame value gouging (73%) and hen flu (70%).
It’s truthful to say that Trump and his insurance policies aren’t the only real wrongdoer. Chicken flu outbreaks are largely liable for egg shortages, which result in increased costs. And wholesale egg costs have certainly dropped fairly a bit over the previous month, although it’ll possible take some time for customers to really feel that.
That mentioned, opposition to Trump’s insurance policies might develop if customers don’t see a lower of their grocery payments. And Trump’s personal Division of Agriculture lately predicted that meals costs would improve by greater than 3% this yr.
The nonpartisan well being coverage outlet KFF reported earlier this week that 59% of adults belief the Facilities for Illness Management and Prevention to offer dependable info relating to hen flu. Nonetheless, much more Democrats (72%) belief the federal company than Republicans (42%), but when Trump appoints one other quack to guide the CDC, these numbers might shift.
The excellent news for Democrats? In the event that they’re in search of a compelling challenge to marketing campaign on in 2026 or 2028, rising egg costs might function an entry level with voters, particularly in the event that they proceed to extend. Morning Seek the advice of stories that 38% of Individuals are shopping for fewer eggs as a result of rising prices, and one other 11% are reducing eggs from their diets altogether.
Rising costs might additionally unify voters throughout celebration traces. The ballot discovered that 41% of adults had heard, learn, or seen “a lot” concerning the reported egg scarcity or its elevated prices, whereas 39% mentioned they’ve heard “some” about this matter.
All of the Democratic Social gathering wants is to give you a higher message than “raise your own chickens and harvest your own damn eggs.”
Any updates?
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Seems, Democrats aren’t too thrilled when their so-called leaders bend a knee to conservatives. Since launching his new politics podcast, Gov. Gavin Newsom’s favorability amongst California’s self-identified liberals has dropped from 46% to 30%, in line with Capitol Weekly. Amongst all California’s voters, Newsom’s web favorability additionally fell from +4 to -6, marking a 10-point swing within the improper route. It’s unclear who Newsom is attempting to impress by courting a number of the most controversial folks within the GOP. Even Republican voters instructed the pollster that they discovered Newsom to be “fake.”
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Trump is making good on his promise to dismantle the Division of Schooling, even when he’s doing so in a piecemeal vogue. Nonetheless, in line with the Pew Analysis Middle, the states that rely essentially the most on federal funding—and could be essentially the most affected by eliminating the Schooling Division—are crimson states. As of the 2022 fiscal yr, Mississippi (23.3%), South Dakota (21.7%), and Montana (20.9%) acquired the most important proportion of their funding from federal sources. All three states overwhelmingly supported Trump in 2024.
Vibe examine
Civiqs lately requested registered Democratic voters how they’re feeling about, nicely, the whole lot. And the overwhelming sentiment is that they’re pissed, with 35% of Democrats saying that they really feel offended concerning the state of the nation, in comparison with 26% who mentioned that they really feel scared.
Whereas there are a lot of unfavourable issues taking place on this planet, Democrats’ anger started rising across the time Trump was sworn into workplace—leaping from 18% on January 20 to 35% now.
In the meantime, emotions of hopefulness have modified considerably. In July 2024, following Biden’s exit from the presidential race and his endorsement of Vice President Kamala Harris, 33% of Democrats mentioned they felt hopeful concerning the state of the nation.
Now, solely 5% of Democrats report feeling hopeful.
