In abstract
The president-elect elevated his vote share in 45 of 58 California counties in 2024. And Kamala Harris received 1.8 million fewer votes statewide than Joe Biden in 2020.
No Republican presidential candidate has received California since George H.W. Bush made it 5 in a row for the GOP in 1988. So it’s no massive shock that Democratic nominee Kamala Harris simply received California’s 54 electoral votes this November.
However whereas the vice chairman defeated Donald Trump 58.5% to 38%she did a lot worse in her residence Golden State than Joe Biden did in 2020: She misplaced vote share in all however one of many state’s 58 counties (together with a number of with sizable Latino populations), and he or she misplaced not less than 10 share factors of the vote in 43 counties.
Statewide, Harris received greater than 1.8 million fewer votes than Biden’s 11.1 million — a foremost purpose why Trump is headed towards successful the nationwide standard vote.
Harris bought extra votes — 3 — than Biden in a single county: Alpine, the state’s least populous county, with solely about 1,500 residents. Trump misplaced one vote in that county.
With the statewide rely just about full earlier than right this moment’s deadline for counties to certify their outcomes, the returns present that extra voters didn’t vote in any respect: Almost 90% of counties reported fewer complete votes for president in final month’s election in comparison with 4 years in the past.
Trump had a extra combined efficiency throughout the state in 2024 in comparison with 2020. Whereas he acquired about 74,000 extra votes statewide this time, he bought fewer votes in 29 counties.
For instance, Trump did higher within the state’s most populous county, Los Angeles, the place he bought roughly 44,000 extra votes in comparison with 2020 out of greater than 3.7 million ballots. Harris bought greater than 600,000 fewer votes than Biden in 2020 and misplaced greater than 20 share factors of vote share because of this.
As elections knowledge skilled Rob Pyers has detailedTrump flipped 10 counties, however not essentially as a result of extra folks voted for him than 4 years in the past. As a substitute, Harris did considerably worse.
As an illustration, Trump flipped Lake County, however he solely bought 38 extra votes within the rural county in comparison with 2020. Harris, alternatively, underperformed Biden by about 2,150 votes, and candidates from different events received 804.
Lake is one in all eight counties the place the proportion distinction between Harris and Trump was smaller than the share received by minor social gathering candidates, the biggest of which was Orange County the place Harris received 49.7% to 47.1%, however different candidates acquired a mixed 3.2%.
