Outcomes: AP • CNN • New York Occasions • NBC • Politico
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Numerous votes are coming in now, and we’re getting a barely higher image of what the night time will appear like. Of significance, Arizona, Iowa, Nebraska, Texas, and Wisconsin polls have simply closed.
Keep in mind 2020, when Florida was nonetheless thought of a battleground and it fell early to Trump? Individuals have been despondent as rural counties reported first and generated a “red mirage.” Don’t let your self be fooled by the purple mirage. Now we have an extended technique to go.
Topline: Harris 99, Trump 137
What I’m :
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In Georgia, Trump squeezed 0 to five factors out of absolutely reported rural counties. It’s fairly superb that they hold growing their margins in these areas. General, Trump leads, however a ton of Democratic votes are excellent. We’ll have a greater deal with on suburban and concrete vote after a few of these counties report. We’re nonetheless ready. One good signal: In suburban Fayette County, with most votes counted, Trump is successful it by lower than he gained it in 2020.
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Democrat Colin Allred is operating neck and neck with Republican incumbent Sen. Ted Cruz, who’s operating behind Trump. One unhealthy signal: Democratic Senate candidate Beto O’Rourke gained Harris County by 201,000, and Allred is operating behind that, with 70% of the county’s vote reporting. In fact, we don’t know what elements of the county have reported.
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Democratic benefit in Nevada appears to be rising. However anticipate Trump to be forward on Tuesday night time for the reason that mail vote from Clark County—closely Democratic—gained’t report quickly.
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In Ohio, Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown can be operating near Republican Bernie Moreno. Painful. Trump is up within the state, although, so Brown is getting Republican ticket-splitters. The nearer it stays on the statewide stage, the higher probability Brown has to outlive.
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Republican Mark Robinson misplaced his gubernatorial bid in North Carolina, so not less than North Carolina gained’t be ruled by a reportedly self-described “Black Nazi.”
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Backside line, we nonetheless don’t have an incredible deal with on any wider developments in suburban counties, nor the affect of bigger turnout in city areas.
