With two weeks to go till Election Day on November 5, a brand new ballot in swing state Nevada signifies a margin-of-error race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Trump.
In line with the survey by AARP, Trump edged Harris 49%-47% in a head-to-head match up for the state’s extremely coveted six electoral votes. The Republican presidential nominee holds a fair slimmer 47%-46% one-point margin over the Democratic Occasion standard-bearer in a full poll with third-party candidates. The survey is the most recent of seemingly voters to point a coin-toss race in Nevada.
As he runs to win again the White Home, Trump goals to turn into the primary GOP presidential nominee to hold Nevada since then-President George W. Bush in his 2004 re-election victory. Trump narrowly misplaced the Silver State in each his 2016 White Home victory and in his 2020 re-election loss to President Biden.
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Republican presidential nominee and former President Donald Trump smiles throughout a Hispanic roundtable at Magnificence Society on October 12, 2024 in North Las Vegas, Nevada. (Ethan Miller/Getty Pictures)
The AARP survey, carried out Oct. 8-15 and launched on Tuesday, signifies the previous president holding a slim benefit amongst unbiased voters. It additionally factors to a big gender hole, with Trump up 18 factors amongst males, whereas Harris leads girls by 15 factors.
Current polls in Nevada and throughout the nation point out an erosion of help for Democrats amongst Latino voters, and in accordance with the AARP ballot, Trump enjoys a slight lower-single digit edge over Harris amongst these voters.
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Of word, the survey does not level to a big schooling divide.
“There is only a small educational attainment gap, with Harris up 6-points with voters with college degrees, and Trump up 5 among those without degrees,” the survey’s launch highlights.
Democratic Presidential nominee Vice President Kamala Harris walks over to Latino voter Ivett Castillo, who lately misplaced her mom, throughout a Univision City Corridor in Las Vegas, Nevada on Thursday, October 10, 2024. (Melina Mara/The Washington Put up through Getty Pictures) (Melina Mara/The Washington Put up through Getty Pictures)
The ballot signifies Trump with a seven-point lead amongst voters 50+, and a four-point benefit amongst these age 65 and older.
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“With the presidential and senate races so close, appealing to high-turnout older voters should be a major priority for all the campaigns,” AARP Nevada State Director Maria Moore emphasised. “If candidates want to win in Nevada, they should focus on the issues that matter to older voters, from protecting Social Security to supporting family caregivers and bringing down the costs of necessities like food and housing.”
Kamala Harris and Donald Trump current break up picture (Getty Pictures)
Nevada is one among seven swing states whose razor-thin margins determined Biden’s 2020 election victory over Trump and are prone to decide if Harris or Trump wins the 2024 White Home race.
The Silver State isn’t solely a presidential battleground – it is also dwelling to an important Senate race that’s one among a handful that may resolve if the GOP wins again the chamber’s majority.
In line with the ballot, Democratic Sen. Jacky Rosen holds a five-point 49%-44% benefit over Republican challenger Sam Brown.
The AARP ballot was carried out by the bipartisan polling staff of Fabrizio Ward (Republican) & Impression Analysis (Democrat). The corporations interviewed 1,368 seemingly voters in Nevada. The survey’s total sampling error is plus or minus 3.5 share factors.
